September 17, 2026 – 60–65% of the recent spike in fuel comes from Ukraine’s bombing campaign on Russian-refineries

In Conservative Treehouse, Email/Dossier/Govt Corruption Investigations, Featured Timeline Entries by Katie Weddington

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says Ukrainian forces struck the Yaroslavl oil refinery overnight. The operation involved the SBU, Unmanned Systems Forces, Defense Intelligence (HUR), and Foreign Intelligence Service (SZR). Ukraine’s Security Service also struck a military airfield in Rostov. Confirmed damage includes one An-12, two An-26s, and three helicopters.

The strike comes days after President Donald J. Trump posted to Truth Social on Sept. 14 that Russia and Ukraine had agreed to halt strikes on each other’s energy infrastructure. Zelenskyy disputed that any deal was finalized. He said Ukraine would only pause strikes if Russia genuinely stopped hitting Ukraine’s power grid and other critical infrastructure.

Russia has continued striking Ukrainian civilian infrastructure in the same window. A Sept. 12 Russian strike killed nine people and damaged infrastructure across several regions. Attacks on Ukraine’s energy grid have also intensified as winter approaches.

September 20, 2026

Zelenskyy Brags About NATO Missile Systems Being Used to Attack Moscow and Russian Refineries

(…) Four days ago, the EU oil disruption from Saudi Arabia’s East/West pipeline event was noticed. In the four days between event day and policy day (#4) the EU have been beating the drumbeat for war against Russia.  However, you will notice the shift in tone and policy now that we have reached day four.  Analysis has reached policy makers. You might say reality sets in.

Europe now recognizes a vulnerability that was not in their policy briefs 96 hours earlier.  Things change {SOURCE}, and the quiet stuff starts to become visible. Russia has been sending France oil/gas energy products, quietly. Macron needed the internal stabilization because he’s been up against a wall.  On top of all his other issues, Macron could not afford an energy crisis.

Simultaneously, despite what we have been told by Western media, the 5,000 strike drones into the Moscow region should again be taken in context.  Russia is an analog system in a digital world. Russia is exceptionally resilient and can repair and recover much faster than western analysts ever fathom.  Again, apply the ‘rule of 96.’

Russia is now overproducing diesel fuel. Wait, what(?) you might ask.  It’s true.  Russian strategic diesel fuel reserves are now full and overproducing 15% beyond storage capacity. {SOURCE} So, where is the excess capacity going?  To the “stans” in Central Asia, from there it ships to forward destinations. Turkey is a dependent beneficiary. Do you remember the strategic agreement between the USA and Kazakhstan? {Source}

Russia increased diesel supplies to Mongolia by 73.4% in August from July to 215,000 metric tons, while shipments to Kyrgyzstan surged 16.4 times to 72,000 tons and deliveries to Tajikistan rose 3.5 times to 56,000 tons. Russia also exported 28,000 tons of diesel to Kazakhstan after making no deliveries there in July. {source}

As the Saudi energy disruption, a problem that travels like boxcar impacts in a train collision, now reaches the EU, the NATO alliance begins to react.  Their policy briefs are different than they were four days ago.

Saudi Arabia is now producing again on the previously closed East/West pipeline; however, it will take time to reach the EU.   A policy window is opened by the disruption.  This is the window where President Trump is operating, and it is timed with the UN General Assembly meeting.

(Read more: Conservative Treehouse, 9/22/2026)

Ukraine has attacked at least 27 of Russia’s 32 major oil refineries (those with significant processing capacity). Only five remote plants in eastern Siberia and the Far East remain unhit, as they currently lie beyond the range of Ukraine’s longest-range drones (roughly 3,500–6,500 km from the border).

This figure comes from the International Energy Agency’s September 2026 assessment (data as of late August) and has been cited in subsequent reporting. Many of the targeted plants have been struck repeatedly—some as many as 15 times. Smaller refineries have also been hit, bringing the total number of unique facilities attacked even higher when counting all plants rather than just the major ones. iea.org

The campaign intensified sharply from mid-2025 onward. By mid-2026 Ukraine had already struck all 11 of Russia’s largest refineries, including the previously out-of-reach Omsk plant (Russia’s biggest) in July 2026. Additional strikes continued into September 2026 on previously targeted sites such as the Moscow, Ufa, and Samara-area refineries. united24media.com

Exact counts vary slightly by source depending on how “major” is defined and whether smaller plants are included, but the IEA’s 27-out-of-32 figure for large refineries is the most consistent recent benchmark.(Grok, 9/22/2026)